Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued
G2 (Moderate) Storm watch issued by NOAA/SWPC beginning early on Sept. 12. Geomagnetic conditions will of course depend on the strength of the actual incoming shock impact, followed by solar wind characteristics (Bz/IMF) in the hours following any such impact. The coronal mass ejection (CME) was the result of an M4.5 solar flare around region 2158 early Wednesday (UTC). More to follow in the days ahead. Good morning. Here is an updated look at the visible solar disk on Wednesday. Solar activity is currently low with only low level C-Flares detected within the past 24 hours. Regions 2157 and 2158 are now in a good geoeffective position. New spot growth was observed within the central portion of 2157 and the active region will remain a threat for an isolated M-Flare. To the north, region 2158 consists of one large dark sunspot core, surrounded by several small spots. This region will also remain a threat for an isolated M-Class event. All other visible regions are currently stable. A prominence eruption off the west limb produced a narrow coronal mass ejection (CME) that was directed to the west and away from Earth. Also in today's report - Winter watches are out, along with frost lookouts. Possible rain and wind damage in the lower 48. And now two tropical waves, one off the coast of FL.
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Solar activity during the past 24 hours was moderate with the M4.5 solar flare around region 2158 being the largest observed X-Ray event. Only minor C-Flares have been detected ever since. Region 2158 remains magnetically complex and is still a threat for another isolated moderate to strong solar flare. The other sunspot of interest, region 2157 in the southern hemisphere, is currently producing low level C-Flares and will remain a threat for an isolated M-Flare. All other visible sunspots are stable for the time being.
Also in today's daily alternative news report is Hummingbird027's end-time update. Good morning. Here is an updated look at the visible solar disk on Monday. Solar activity is currently low. Regions 2157 and 2158 both continue to undergo changes in sunspot configuration and magnetic complexity. Each will remain a threat for an isolated M-Flare. All other visible regions are currently stable. No Earth directed coronal mass ejections were observed during the past day.
24 hr Summary: Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2157 (S14E24, Ekc/beta-gamma-delta) continued to produce mid-range C-class flares. The largest was a C7 flare at 07/1943 UTC. Region 2157 had slight to moderate growth over the period within its intermediate spot area and still retains a SE-NW inversion line within its much larger trailing spot complex. Region 2158 (N15E35, Dkc/beta-gamma-delta), although relatively quiet recently, appeared to have slight rotation of its positive leader with penumbral fluctuations along its delta. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were observed during the period. Forecast: Solar activity is expected to reach moderate (R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)) levels with a chance for X-class (R3 or greater) flare activity over the next three days (08-10 Sep). Regions 2157 and 2158 are the most likely sources for significant flare production. Also in today's report is Hummingbird027's end-time update and prophetic news for Sept. 8th. Good morning folks. Here is an updated look at the visible solar disk on Sunday. Solar activity declined to low levels with only C-Class flares detected. Region 2159 produced a C7.5 flare at 02:04 UTC and was associated with a non Earth directed coronal mass ejection (CME). A number of low level C-Flares are being observed this morning around region 2157. Both regions 2157 and 2158 continue to undergo changes in formation and magnetic complexity as they rotate into a better Earth facing position. An isolated moderate to strong solar flare will remain a possibility during the next 24-48 hours.
A weak shock passage observed on Saturday did not lead to a noteworthy increase in geomagnetic activity. Geomagnetic storming is unlikely. Also included in today's report is today in history for September 7th. Good morning. A somewhat busy day on the space weather front, so I will provide you with this solar update. Here is an updated look at the visible solar disk. New regions 2160, 2161 and 2162 were all assigned today. Each are not considered a threat for strong solar flares at this time. Another new region is now just beginning to turn into view off the east limb. We will get a better look within the next 24 hours.
The C8.0 solar flare Saturday morning around region 2157 appears to have been responsible for a coronal mass ejection (CME) as seen in the attached image by LASCO C2. It does not appear to be Earth directed. The Solar X-Rays are active once again. Region 2157 produced a moderate M1.1 solar flare at 17:09 UTC. The active region continues to evolve and will remain a threat for additional moderate to strong solar flares. ACE spacecraft data showed an increase in solar wind speed on Saturday morning and it could be related to an expected glancing blow CME impact. A geomagnetic sudden impulse was also detected at 15:25 UTC. Increased geomagnetic activity will be possible in the hours ahead. More updates to follow if required. The following video from SciShow News introduces you to the most massive land animal ever to walk the earth -- pretty much -- and tells you what’s going on with all of these earthquakes lately. |
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